When I began my MBA, I watched this 1998 talk given by Warren Buffett to the students of the University of Florida. It was a guiding light. Now, I'm passing the video onto my wife Hannah, who begins her MBA career the week after next at MIT Sloan. The speech touches on a number of points, and I've done my best to annotate, but the highlights for an incoming MBA student are:
PART 1 - Intro and the MBA Game 2:20 - The MBA Game - Which classmate will you invest in? 7:12 - Investing in Japan 8:25 - Cigar butt approach to investing, i.e. buying stocks valued below working capital PART 2 - Wealth, leverage, and taking a job you love 0:10 - Long-Term Capital Management - Berkshire's bid for the imploding hedge fund 4:30 - On the founder's of LTM: "To make the money they did not have and did not need, they risked what they did have and did need. That is foolish." 4:44 - "If you risk something that is important to you for something that is unimportant to you, it just does not make any sense." 5:37 - On leverage - small upside, big downside 6:55 - "Betas don't tell you a damn thing about the risk of stock" 9:18 - "Work in jobs you love. You're out of you mind if you keep taking jobs you don't like because you think they look good on your resume." 9:50 - "Taking a job you don't like is like saving sex for old age." PART 3 - The Moat 0:30 - Landing the job with Benjamin Graham; "I kept pestering him. I kept writing him and giving him ideas." 2:00 - "I like businesses I understand." 2:39 - "I want a business with a moat around. I want a very valuable castle in the middle. And I want the Duke in charge of the castle to be honest and hardworking and able." 4:15 - Kodak and how they lost "share of mind" to Fuji 5:15 - "I've got one message to the managers: Widen the moat." 7:00 - "I don't want to buy any stock that if they close the NY Stock Exchange tomorrow for five years I won't be happy owning it." 7:25 - "You're not buying a stock; you're buying a part ownership in a business." 7:56 - Buffett buys his first stock at 11 years old. PART 4 - See's, Disney and Coke: Building and Protecting The Moat 0:49 - See's Candies purchase 3:45 - Disney 5:10 - Coca-Cola PART 5 - Qualitative Analysis? 1:00 - "Almost every business we bought has taken 5 or 10 minutes, in terms of [quantitative] analysis...if you don't know enough to know about the business instantly, you won't know enough in a month or two months." 2:10 - Circle of competence 3:10 - The Silver Bullet question - To find the best company in a market, ask all the players which competitor they would eliminate if they had the chance. 4:00 - HH Brown acquisition 4:45 - Asian Crisis & Coca-Cola PART 6 - Mistakes: Warren is an "airoholic" 0:24 - Coca-Cola IPO; if you bought 1 share and reinvested the dividends, it would be worth about $5M now. 2:40 - Mistakes - "The biggest mistakes have not been mistakes of commission, they've been mistakes of omission: where we knew enough about the business to do something, but for one reason or another we sat there sucking our thumbs." 3:20 - Fannie Mae 3:30 - Investing in airlines 4:20 - Solomon Brothers 4:35 - "One form of mistake is buying because you like the terms [of the security], when you don't like the business that well." 5:28 - "Never look back...you can only live life forward." 6:55 - Macro factors - "Figure out what is important and knowable. Macro is important, but it is not knowable....We have never bought a business or not bought a business because of any macro feeling of any kind." PART 7- The value of NOT being on Wall Street 0:10 - Benefit of being an out-of-towner v. on Wall Street 1:00 - "Get one good idea a year, and then ride it to its full potential...and that is very hard to do in an environment where people are shouting prices back and forth every five minutes." 1:30 - Stock brokers 3:00 - Berkshire dividend? No chance. 4:10 - Berkshire HQ: 12 people, 3500 sq. ft. 6:35 - "We never buy something with a price target in mind." 8:08 - Arbitrage PART 8 - Diversification 0:30 - Coco bean arbitrage 1:15 - Diversification: "If you are not a professional investor, than I believe in extreme diversification [and no trading]." In other words, buy and hold index funds. "Once you're in the business of evaluating business, then diversification is a terrible mistake. If you really know businesses, than you probably should not own more than six of them." 3:20 - Procter & Gamble 5:00 - McDonald's 6:10 - Gillette 7:30 - Utilities PART 9 - Large Caps and REITS 0:10 - Large caps 2:30 - Real Estate Investment Trusts - If you have a large amount of capital, REITs are not attractive. 4:30 - Texas Pacific Land Trust PART 10 -You're extremely lucky
0:00 - Down markets? "I prefer the market going down." 0:55 - Net buyers should want the price of stocks to go down. 1:45 - Chapter 8 and Chapter 20 in Graham's Intelligent Investor: "the two most important essays ever written on investing." 3:00 - "The Ovarian Lottery." Warren advocates for a John Rawls / Theory of Justice approach to social issues. 6:00 - If you could put your ball back (i.e. life), would you do it in exchange for 100 balls? You're in the luckiest 1% of the world. 7:20 - Only work with people you like.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
JONATHAN STEIMAN
I'm the Founder and CEO of Peak Support. This blog is my take on early-stage companies and innovation. Every so often, there may be a post about culture, networking, family -- you name it. After all, what is a blog if it isn't a tad bit unstructured.
Archives
December 2016
Categories
All
|